Colum Maddox A/CFO joined the meeting
3.1 YTD Expenditure
The CFO provided a briefing to the Committee on the financial position year to date and the forecast to year end as set out in the briefing papers circulated to the Committee prior to the meeting.
He advised the Committee that the draft revenue I&E financial position at the end of July 2022 shows an YTD deficit of €731.4m or 6.2%, with a significant element of this being driven by the direct impact of COVID-19, as reflected in the €608.2m adverse variance on the COVID-19 reported costs and €123.2m adverse variance on core (Non-COVID 19) related costs.
However, when account is taken of COVID – 19 related, Acute income, bad debts and CNU cost of care issues which are embedded in Core services this variance reduces to circa €50m YTD.
He advised that account must also be taken of National Service Plan 2022 funding yet to be drawn down from the DoH. It is also expected that the core (non COVID-19) activities will naturally increase and the impact of “delayed” care will also increase demand for core services.
The CFO advised that a core expenditure plan was prepared following the completion of the Q1 forecast. This plan aimed to reduce the expected level of growth to €66m below the level in the LOW Q1 scenario i.e. to deliver a 2022 breakeven on CORE, assuming the costs relating to State Claims Agency breaks even and without factoring in the effect of the Haddington Road Agreement reversal (HRA).
Maximum variance targets were set based on the outputs of this core plan, these targets have now been communicated to services and the monitoring of these targets including consideration of any corrective action is being actioned through the performance and accountability framework.
The CFO updated the Committee in relation to the Cash position stating that Cash pressure is still evident in the system to the end of August 2022 and is expected to continue to year end.
This being driven by unfunded COVID-19 related expenditure pressures such as Testing and Tracing, COVID-19 Vaccines, PPE, COVID-19 Therapeutics’, Acute and Community COVID-19 responses.
Following consideration of the key financial messages the Committee noted that:
- Q1 and Q2 Forecasts indicate that there has been a level of unfunded CORE costs year to date, and that this trend is currently predicted to continue through 2022.
- Steps have been taken by the EMT, based on Q1 projections to reduce the expected level of growth in order to deliver a 2022 breakeven on CORE (assuming SCA breaks even and without factoring in HRA). A Core plan has been formulated to reduce forecasted growth, by at least €70m, with as much of this as possible targeted as a reduction to unfunded growth.
- There will be continued engagement with DOH and DPER in respect of 2023 costs and funding, particularly in relation to the main cost pressure areas discussed above.
- Committee would like assurance from budget holders that controls and plans are in place. A report to be included at the next Committee meeting of the breakdown of maximum expenditure limits with HGs and CHOs.
The Committee raised the longer term sustainability of funding for the health service given demographics, service requirements etc. The CFO said there was an appreciation of this issue and it was under consideration.
3.2 Update on Estimates Process
The Chairman informed the Committee that preparation of the Estimates is a key component of the annual service planning process. It incorporates two elements:
- An estimate of funding requirements for an existing level of service (ELS) for 2023 (led by National Finance). This will specify and project what the financial requirements or full cost of existing services (excluding COVID-19 services) will be for 2023, which is informed by the forecasting of expenditure to the end of 2022.
- An estimate of requirements for key new service developments (NSDs) for 2023. The focus is on full implementation of all strategic developments and service improvements funded in previous years, and to identify exceptional areas where targeted investments are required in 2023, and where there is an assured supply of the requisite staff categories.
The CFO presented the papers as circulated to the Committee prior to the meeting noting that Estimates 2023 preparation, as a key step of the annual service planning process, is more complex than in previous years, given financial pressures on government, residual challenges around recruitment and retention and the broader ongoing impact of the pandemic.
He provided a briefing to the Committee on the discussions held by the Performance and Delivery Committee and Board at a special meeting on September 2022 to consider the funding required in 2023 to address the core deficit, the full year costs of continuing to provide existing level of service in 2023 and costs of planned new service developments in 2023.
The Committee noted this preliminary view of Estimates (ELS) 2023 and NSD has been shared with the DoH in order to allow a more informed process leading up to budget day 2022.
3.3 Health Budget Oversight Group Minutes
The CFO and A/CFO noted that while HBOG meetings have been deferred to allow a focus on the Estimates process at present, they are continuing to engage with the DoH. The next HBOG meeting is scheduled for 29th September 2022.
The Chairman emphasized the need for strong exchange of information between the HSE, DoH and DPER which needs to be formalized. The CFO advised that work is ongoing and that a number of workshops had taken place to provide more structure, and that a roadmap would be required. This has been delayed due to the Estimates process, but a plan is in place to look at this process after the Estimates are finalized.
3.3 Procurement - Annual Assessment of Competitive/Compliant Procurement exercise 2021 - Corporate Centre analysis
Brian Long AND Procurement, acting for ND Procurement and Julie Ryan AND Corporate Procurement Planning and Compliance Improvement (CPP&CI) joined the meeting for consideration of this item.
They advised the Committee that following the presentation of the Annual Self-assessment of competitive compliance procurement exercise at the Audit and Risk Committee meeting in July 2022, the Committee requested a paper to provide a more in-depth analysis across the Corporate Centre incorporating an analysis of the list of derogations used to declare compliant procurement and the name of each Executive Management Team (EMT) owner aligned to the data presented. In parallel an analysis of non-compliant procurement by each EMT member was also conducted, and the final paper was presented to the Committee prior to the meeting.
The CFO noted that two papers had been provided to the Committee, and that paper 2 had been updated based on the Corporate Centre being redefined to exclude the National Ambulance Services, National Screening Service and Environmental Health.
The CFO provided an update to the Committee in terms of the SIC Process for 2022 on Procurement Compliance Assessment. As agreed, these assessments will now be completed on a quarterly basis. Q1 & Q2 returns for 2022 were due for completion by end of September. However, while significant progress is being made, the programme of work is running a few weeks behind schedule and the outcome for Q1 and Q2 will not be complete until the end of October 2022. It will be presented to the Committee at the November meeting.
The Chair asked about the external verification process and management confirmed that this was carried out by Grant Thornton noting their findings indicated that the self-declaration process was robust with minimal error detected.
The CFO provided a brief overview of paper 2. He advised that as requested at the July Audit & Risk Committee meeting this paper focused on identifying the level of compliance by EMT members where they had relied on permitted derogations to declare compliance. He outlined that 78% of the self-declaration of compliant procurement across the Corporate Centre was based on the application of one of the Standard EU Tender Procedures. It was also highlighted that apart from this the most frequently used permitted derogation was article 32 which is used in extreme urgency and unforeseen circumstances.
The Committee welcomed the work that had been completed, noting that it provided a base for better information flow and a number of further assurances, potentially including testing of controls during the Internal Audit Plan.